HAPPY SURPRISES:
-Christian Bale and Leo for Lead Actor. Tom Hanks being left out, though, is an unhappy surprise, but that is mitigated by his past Oscar recognition and this being such a stacked category.
-Jonah Hill for Supporting Actor, for a performance that was … something else.
-I was “happy” to see Pharrell up for Original Song.

UNHAPPY SURPRISES
-No “Please Mr. Kennedy”?!
-No American Hustle for Makeup? I guess too much of it was natural.

[EDITED TO INCLUDE:] NEUTRAL SURPRISES
-No Best Picture (or any major noms) for Inside Llewyn Davis.  There could have been one more Best Picture nom, and I thought Llewyn would have filled it.  The Coen Bros. seem to have a fanbase in the Academy – after all, the presumably more inaccessible A Serious Man snagged a Best Picture nom.
-No Monsters University for Animated Feature – only the second Pixar film (after Cars 2) not to be nominated since this category’s inception.
-No The Past for Foreign Language Film, despite great reviews and Asghar Farhadi winning here for A Separation two years ago.  Apparently it didn’t even make the shortlist.

UNHAPPY NON-SURPRISES
-No Will Forte or James Franco for Supporting Actor.
-Nothing for You’re Next.
-Only 1 nomination for Prisoners.
-Nothing for The World’s End.
-Nothing for Blue is the Warmest Color.
-No sound nominations for Stoker.
-No editing nomination for Spring Breakers.

ALSO OF NOTE
-For the 2nd year in a row, a David O. Russell movie was nominated in all four acting categories. American Hustle is the 15th film to ever have such a distinction, and Russell is the only director to have directed more than one of them.

PREDICTIONS (Obviously these may change after the guild awards.)
–12 Years a Slave and American Hustle should take Screenplay (though there’s always the possibility of a quirky winner here).
-Cuarón might win Director even though Gravity probably won’t win Best Picture, but the Best Picture favorites look too strong, so Steve McQueen will probably take it (or Russell).
-Jared Leto is the biggest acting favorite.
-Cate Blanchett is close to a sure thing.
-Supporting Actress looks like a 2-woman race: J-Law vs. Lupita – slight edge to Jen for now.
-Lead Actor could legitimately go to anybody. I’m still thinking Chiwetel as the ever so slight favorite.
-And it all comes down to 12 Years a Slave vs. American Hustle, with 12 Years looking good (for now).