2011 Video Music Awards Preview

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The 2011 MTV Video Music Awards are taking off tonight, and believe it or not, this is an awards show that has more legitimacy than most.  Unfortunately, this legitmacy has been on the downturn in the past decade.  It is not that bad music videos are being awarded, it is that the safer picks –  like “Umbrella” and “Bad Romance” –  are chosen, while the truly best and most daring – like Fatboy Slim’s “Weapon of Choice” or Justice’s “D.A.N.C.E.” or The Black Keys’ “Tighten Up” – are merely given perfunctory nominations or relegated to less prestigious (but more interesting) categories like Breakthrough Video (which is not being awarded this year).  This is mainly due to MTV’s pop bias, which the network got away with in the early days of the VMA’s, as the best music videos back then could be found among the popular ones.  But in the modern music world, there are tons of indie artists making music videos along with the popular artists, and every video can easily be propagated through YouTube.  Thus, the best videos often have to be actively sought after, which means MTV is now mostly recognizing the best of only a subset of the music video world.  And in that limited capacity, a pretty good job is done.  Anyway, here is a category-by-category breakdown.

Video of the Year
Adele – “Rolling in the Deep”
Beastie Boys – “Make Some Noise”
Bruno Mars – “Grenade”
Katy Perry – “Firework”
Tyler, the Creator – “Yonkers”
Will Win: Katy Perry is the most nominated artist (with 4 different videos being recognized), but “Rolling in the Deep” is by far the biggest hit of the year and pretty close to a sure thing.
Should Win: Stark black-and-white photography and memorable images (cockroach, vomit, hanging) make for a winning combination when it comes to music videos, as “Yonkers” provides evidence of.

Best Male Video
Justin Bieber – “U Smile”
Eminem ft. Rihanna – “Love the Way You Lie”
Cee-Lo Green – “Fuck You!”
Bruno Mars – “Grenade”
Kanye West ft. Rihanna and Kid Cudi – “All of the Lights”
Will Win: Unless the VMA’s are determined entirely by fan voting (and I’m pretty sure they’re not; if they were, this category would go to Bieber), this is a toss-up between Eminem and Cee-Lo.  I give the edge to “Fuck You!” for being more recent and more upbeat.
Shoudl Win: Looking for striking visual imagery?  Look no further than “All of the Lights.”

Best Female Video
Adele – “Rolling in the Deep”
Beyoncé – “Run the World (Girls)”
Lady GaGa – “Born This Way”
Nicki Minaj – “Super Bass”
Katy Perry – “Firework”
Will Win: “Rolling in the Deep.” Biggest hit of the year, don’t you know?
Should Win: “Rolling in the Deep.”  The vibrating glasses of water are what really sell it.

Best New Artist
Big Sean ft. Chris Bown – “My Last”
Foster the People – “Pumped Up Kicks”
Kreayshawn – “Gucci Gucci”
Tyler, the Creator – “Yonkers”
Wiz Khalifa – “Black and Yellow”
Will Win: The fact that Tyler is up for Video of the Year doesn’t really mean much for his chances here.  “Black and Yellow” was the biggest hit out of this bunch.  But don’t count Tyler out, as Avenged Sevenfold beat Chris Brown and Rihanna in 2006 and Tokio Hotel beat Katy Perry and Taylor Swift in 2008.
Should Win: You gotta want someone who is going to have a long career of making great videos winning here. I think “Yonkers” proves that will be the case with Tyler, the Creator.

Best Pop Video
Adele – “Rolling in the Deep”
Bruno Mars – “Grenade”
Katy Perry – “Last Friday Night (T.G.I.F.)”
Pitbull ft. Ne-Yo, Afrojack, and Nayer – “Give Me Everything”
Britney Spears – “Till the World Ends”
Will Win: This award has lately been closely in line with Video of the Year, which bodes well for “Rolling in the Deep.”
Should Win: Celebrity cameos that are witty and actually have a purpose?  Thank you, “Last Friday Night.”

Best Rock Video
The Black Keys – “Howlin’ for You”
Cage the Elephant – “Shake Me Down”
Foo Fighters – “Walk”
Foster the People – “Pumped Up Kicks”
Mumford & Sons – “The Cave”
Will Win: This award doesn’t always go to the biggest hit (as lately there isn’t always a big hit among the nominees).  The four relatively new artists may cancel each other out, leading the way for the oft-nominated but never victorious Foo Fighters to win for “Walk.”
Should Win: The fake-trailer (especially the grindhouse variety) conceit has become a bit overdone, but when it’s done well, it’s done well, as in “Howlin’ for You.”

Best Hip-Hop Video
Chris Brown ft. Lil Wayne and Busta Rhymes – “Look at Me Now”
Lupe Fiasco – “The Show Goes On”
Lil Wayne ft. Cory Gunz – “6 Foot 7 Foot”
Nicki Minaj – “Super Bass”
Kanye West ft. Rihanna and Kid Cudi – “All of the Lights”
Will Win: The VMA’s love a good comeback story, which is good news for “6 Foot 7 Foot” from Lil Wayne, who is in the midst of his post-prison career resurgence.
Should Win: There’s a Hype Williams clip (“All of the Lights”) nominated?  Give it to him.  He makes classic hip-hop spots in his sleep.

Best Collaboration
Chris Brown ft. Lil Wayne and Busta Rhymes – “Look at Me Now”
Nicki Minaj ft. Drake – “Moment 4 Life”
Katy Perry ft. Kanye West – “E.T.”
Pitbull ft. Ne-Yo, Nayer, and Afrojack – “Give Me Everything”
Kanye West ft. Rihanna and Kid Cudi – “All of the Lights”
Will Win: It may be too hard to resist the big number of credited artists and Pitbull’s rising star power in “Give Me Everything.”
Should Win: “All of the Lights.”  Kanye is the current king of collaborations and RiRi is the queen of hooks.

Best Direction
30 Seconds to Mars – “Hurricane” (Dir. Bartholomew Cubbins)
Adele – “Rolling in the Deep” (Dir. Sam Brown)
Beastie Boys – “Make Some Noise” (Dir. Adam Yauch)
Eminem ft. Rihanna – “Love the Way You Lie” (Dir. Joseph Kahn)
Katy Perry ft. Kanye West – “E.T.” (Dir. Floria Sigismondi)
Will Win: Best Direction can match up with Video of the Year, and there aren’t really any other strong contenders this year.  So congratulations, Sam Brown.
Should Win: The general mark of good music video direction is striking imagery, which is what Floria Sigismondi gave us in “E.T.”

Best Choreography
Beyoncé – “Run the World (Girls)” (Choreographer: Frank Gatson)
Lady Gaga – “Judas” (Chroeographer: Laurieann Gibson)
LMFAO ft. Lauren Bennett and GoonRock – “Party Rock Anthem” (Choreographer: Hokuto Konishi)
Bruno Mars – “The Lazy Song” (Choreographers: Bruno Mars and Poreotics)
Britney Spears – “Till the World Ends” (Choreographer: Brian Friedman)
Will Win: It is the “Party Rock Anthem” of the summer, and it has got people shufflin’.
Should Win: The moves aren’t overly impressive in “Party Rock Anthem,” but they are plenty fun.

Best Special Effects
Chromeo – “Don’t Turn the Lights On” (Special Effects: The Mill)
Linkin Park — “Waiting for the End” (Special Effects: Ghost Town Media)
Manchester Orchestra — “Simple Math” (Special Effects: DANIELS)
Katy Perry ft. Kanye West — “E.T.” (Special Effects: Jeff Dotson for Dot & Effects)
Kanye West ft. Dwele — “Power” (Special Effects: Nice Shoes and ArtJail)
Will Win: The VMA’s like some hook to their special effects, but not something too unusual, which bodes well for “Waiting for the End.”
Should Win: Those bulging eyes in “Don’t Turn the Lights On” truly were “special.”

Best Art Direction
Adele – “Rolling in the Deep” (Art Director: Nathan Parker)
Death Cab for Cutie – “You Are a Tourist” (Art Directors: Nick Gould, Tim Nackashi and Anthony Maitz)
Lady Gaga – “Judas” (Art Director: Amy Danger)
Katy Perry ft. Kanye West – “E.T.” (Art Director: Jason Fijal)
Kanye West ft. Dwele – “Power” (Art Director: Babak Radboy)
Will Win: “Power” was all about art direction.  Hopefully MTV gets that.
Should Win: “Power.”

Best Editing
30 Seconds to Mars – “Hurricane” (Editors: Jared Leto, Frank Snider, Michael Bryson, Stefanie Visser and Daniel Carberry)
Adele – “Rolling in the Deep” (Editor: Art Jones at Work)
Manchester Orchestra – “Simple Math” (Editor: DANIELS)
Katy Perry ft Kanye West – “E.T.” (Editor: Jarrett Fijal)
Kanye West ft. Rihanna and Kid Cudi – “All of the Lights” (Editor: Hadaya Turner)
Will Win: Unless “Rolling in the Deep” wins everything, voters will probably recognize the painstaking work of splicing “All of the Lights” together.
Should Win: It might be dangerous viewing for epileptics, but “All of the Lights” is well-done dangerous viewing for epileptics.

Best Cinematography
30 Seconds to Mars – “Hurricane” (Directors of Photography: Benoît Debie, Jared Leto, Rob Witt and Daniel Carberry)
Adele – “Rolling in the Deep” (Director of Photography: Tom Townend)
Beyoncé – “Run the World (Girls)” (Director of Photography: Jeffrey Kimball)
Eminem ft. Rihanna – “Love the Way You Lie” (Director of Photography: Christopher Probst)
Katy Perry – “Teenage Dream” (Director of Photography: Paul Laufer)
Will Win: With Megan Fox, Dominic Monaghan, and a burning house, “Love the Way You Lie” may have had the most front-and-center elements that caught the camera’s eye.
Should Win: “Teenage Dream” is the sexiest and most lovingly shot video of the past year.

Best Video with a Message
Eminem ft. Rihanna – “Love the Way You Lie”
Lady Gaga – “Born This Way”
Katy Perry – “Firework”
Pink – “Fuckin’ Perfect”
Rise Against – “Make It Stop (September’s Children)”
Taylor Swift – “Mean”
Will Win: “Born This Way”: GaGa is the performer with a message du jour these days.
Should Win: With “Make It Stop,” Rise Against showed us that the one thing the anti-gay bullying campgain had yet to do was rock out.

Best Latino Artist of 2011
Don Omar and Lucenzo – “Danza Kuduro”
Enrique Iglesias ft. Ludacris and DJ Frank E – “Tonight (I’m Lovin’ You)”
Maná – “Lluvia al Corazón”
Prince Royce – “Corazón Sin Cara”
Wisin & Yandel – “Zun Zun Rompiendo Caderas”
Will Win: Don Omar may not be as big a name as Enrique stateside, but with over 200 million hits, “Danza Kuduro” is the 14th most viewed video of all time on YouTube.
Should Win: I’ve appreciated Don Omar whenever he makes an appearance on a Fast and Furious soundtrack, and “Danza Kuduro” showed up in Fast Five.

My Emmy Thoughts 2011, Part 2: Drama

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Best Drama
Once again, it is clear that I do not watch that many dramas, or at least not that many good dramas.  I can vouch for Fringe deserving a spot, and The Walking Dead might be welcome as well. Breaking Bad, which is apparently the best show on television right now, didn’t have any new episodes in the eligibility period.  So I’m hearing that Game of Thrones, Boardwalk Empire, Justified, Mad Men, or perhaps The Good Wife ought to go here.  It’ll be several years before I can say for sure.  After all, I still have to get around to watching The Sopranos and The Wire.

Lead Actor
I would throw my support behind John Noble all the way here, except that he apparently enters in the supporting field.  I hear that Steve Buscemi (Boardwalk Empire), Sean Bean (Game of Thrones), and Timothy Olyphant (Justified) are all great, and that Jon Hamm (Mad Men) and Kyle Chandler (Friday Night Lights) continue to be so.  Brian Cranston won’t be around to defend his title.

Lead Actress
I am going to continue my campaign for Leighton Meester (Gossip Girl) to get some Emmy love.  And Anna Torv (Fringe) may have just been strong enough to earn a nod this year.  Apparently, Julianna Margulies (The Good Wife) and Connie Britton (Friday Night Lights) are also deserving.

Supporting Actor
On Fringe, John Noble’s was by far the most astounding work of any actor on TV this year.  From what I have heard, Peter Dinklage (Game of Thrones) is the only other contender who can even come close to him.  Fringe deserves to double up here, as Joshua Jackson went deeper and darker.

Supporting Actress
I suppose Archie Panjabi (The Good Wife) might repeat here, and Kelly McDonald (Boardwalk Empire) sounds good, too.

Guest Actor/Actress
For perhaps the first time eveer, the guest actor statues for comedy and drama ought to go to the same recipient, as Kevin Corrigan led us further into the mysteries that lie at the heart of Fringe.  It was a treat to see Noah Emmerich pop up in The Walking Dead.  Returning for five minutes, Michael Rosenbaum was the best thing about the final season of Smallville.  As for the ladies, I have no idea.  I am sure there were great guest actresses this past season, but I just did not happen to catch them.

My Emmy Thoughts 2011, Part 1: Comedy

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The Primetime Emmy Award nominations will be announced this upcoming Thursday morning, July 14, so here are my annual thoughts on who and what I believe deserve to be nominated.  As always, I will only include picks from shows that I regularly watch, but I suggest picks from shows that I don’t watch that I have heard may be deserving as well.  Today, the comedy categories; tomorrow, the dramas.  (Picks are listed in order from most deserving to least deserving.)

Best Comedy
Parks and Recreation was good as usual, and 30 Rock felt reenergized this year, but it was Community that met its fullest potential.  But I’m struggling to find anything else truly worthy of a nom.  The Office, Modern Family, and Family Guy were all okay.  Is Futurama eligible in this category?
1. Community
2. Parks and Recreation
3. 30 Rock

Lead Actor
Joel McHale is the realest actor on TV right now, as he leapfrogs over Alec Baldwin and Jim Parsons to the top of the lead acting heap.
1. Joel McHale, Community
2. Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
3. Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
4. Steve Carell, The Office
5. Will Arnett, Running Wilde

Lead Actress
Leslie Knope remains slightly more indelible than Liz Lemon.  Also, I am happy that Martha Plimpton was entered for lead, which allows me to round out my picks in this category a bit more and opens up supporting.
1. Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
2. Tina Fey, 30 Rock
3. Keri Russell, Running Wilde
4. Martha Plimpton, Raising Hope

Supporting Actor
Before Community came along, Tracy Morgan deserved plenty of Emmys for 30 Rock.  He has yet to win, which is doubly unfortunate, now that Community is on, and Danny Pudi is now the one who deserves multiple Emmys.  Apparently, SNL cast members are nominated in the supporting categories, so Bill Hader ought to end up with a nom for one of the best seasons ever.  And how do you stand out in a cast filled with wackos?  Apparently, play it understated, as Adam Scott did on Parks and Recreation.
1. Danny Pudi, Community
2. Bill Hader, Saturday Night Live
3. Tracy Morgan, 30 Rock
4. Chris Pratt, Parks and Recreation
5. Adam Scott, Parks and Recreation
6. Chevy Chase, Community

Supporting Actres
Jane Lynch’s screen time on Glee was, strangely, diminished, which would have made room for Aubrey Plaza to deserve to win here, except that Alison Brie became even more essential to Community.  Meanwhile, Mayim Bialik was upgraded to main cast member status, and Olivia Munn stood out on the sadly short lived Perfect Couples.
1. Alison Brie, Community
2. Aubrey Plaza, Parks and Recreation
3. Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
4. Jane Lynch, Glee
5. Olivia Munn, Perfect Couples
6. Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock

Guest Actor/Actress
Kevin Corrigan is one-of-a-kind, especially in his appearance as Professor Professorson on Community.  He ought to edge out James Spader’s frighteningly, hilariously creepy appearance on The Office.  The guest ladies were a mixed bag this year.  The youngest contender – Chloë Grace-Moretz – had the most room to do plenty with her role and she did all that she could with it.  And let’s throw in a couple of folks who also deserve noms in the main acting categories (Will Arnett, Aubrey Plaza).
1. Kevin Corrigan, Community
2. James Spader, The Office
3. Jim Carrey, Saturday Night Live
4. Zach Galifianakis, Saturday Night Live
5. Will Arnett, The Increasingly Poor Decisions of Todd Margaret
6. John Lithgow, How I Met Your Mother

1. Chloë Grace-Moretz, 30 Rock
2. Parker Posey, Parks and Recreation
3. Catherine Tate, The Office
4. Amy Sedaris, Raising Hope
5. Aubrey Plaza, Portlandia

The 2011 MTV Movie Awards (Excuse Me, Twilight: Eclipse Awards) Preview

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The 2011 MTV Movie Awards are happening this upcoming Sunday, June 5th.  (Jason Sudeikis is the host – he can be funny.)  For those of you who haven’t watched the Golden Popcorn-fest in about ten years, you haven’t missed much.  It isn’t quite as cool as it used it to be in the nineties, back when Jim Carrey dressed as a Foghat-obsessed biker and the film parodies were actually clever and not just filled with as many references as possible.  (Remember Armagedd’N Sync?)  But now, thanks to the fact that people can vote as many times as they want, and considering that teenage girls are the only ones inclined to take seriously MTV awards shows and the only ones inclined to vote 100 times a day, the Movie Awards have been commandeered by the Twilight crowd.  The first two Twilight films won Best Movie the past two years, and odds are that Eclipse will make it three in a row.  Chances are also that it will win every other category in which it is nominated, as the only category in which it was nominated the last two years that it did not also win was Best Song 2 years ago (“The Climb” from Hannah Montana beat out Paramore’s “Decode” – the one instance in which Twilight actually deserved to win).  Here are the categories in which Eclipse has at least one nomination, listed in order from safest bet for Twilight to best chance that something else may actually win:

(For those of you despairing over the current all-Twilight, all the time nature of the show, remember that the Lord of the Rings trilogy won Best Movie three years in a row at the beginning of the century.)

Best Movie
If 2 of the 3 highest grossing (domestic) movies of all time (The Dark Knight, Avatar) couldn’t beat Twilight, then what chance is there for Inception, merely the 41st-highest grossing (domestic) earner of all time?

Best Male Performance
Four of the nominees are the same as last year.  So we can bank on R Pattz finishing ahead of Taylor, Dan Rad, and Zac again.  So is there anyone out there who thinks that Jesse Eisenberg is so much bigger than Channing Tatum in the eyes of the MTV crowd that he can close the gap on R Pattz?  Anyone?

Breakthrough Performance
Robert Pattinson won here two years, before he was allowed to be nominated in the Male Performance category.  Last year Anna Kendrick won forUp in the Air, but as she is also in the Twilight movies, that was essentially a proxy vote for Twilight.  Xavier Samuel has broken through the least of all of this year’s nominees, but he is also the only one from Twilight, and nobody else really sticks out.  Olivia Wilde could win if teenage and twentysomething men were voting, but that group generally doesn’t vote.  I am 23, and I did vote, but I didn’t vote for her.  Chloë Grace Moretz is deserving and was in a role that is MTV-friendly.  And young girls have won the Golden Popcorn in the past (Daveigh Chase for The Ring, Anna Chlumsky for My Girl), but they weren’t up against Twilight.

Best Female Performance
I find it slightly funny that Kristen Stewart has been winning this award lately because I think that Twihards are  more fans of Robert Pattinson and Taylor Lautner than they are of a girl that some of them are probably jealous of.  But who else are they going to vote for, I guess.  Could they vote for Natalie Portman, though?  She’s won every other award, but that doesn’t really mean anything when it comes to MTV.  (Just for the sake of pointing it out, Tom Hanks, in Philadelphia, is the only person to ever win an Oscar and an MTV Best Male or Female Performance Award for the same role.)

Best Kiss
Thanks to its unapologetically indulgent romance, this should be the the premiere category for Twilight.  So why do I not have this ranked as the safest bet for Eclipse?  Because of the buzzworthiness of its deserving competitor: Natalie and Mila in Black Swan.  MTV voters have a history of awarding same-sex kisses – same-sex kisses that are not merely sensationalistic but that actually have a purpose in the context of the movie.  It’s been four years since the last same-sex winner (Will Ferrell and Sacha Baron Cohen in Talladega Nights) and eleven years since the last girl-on-girl winner (Sarah Michelle Gellar and Selma Blair in Cruel Intentions, not including the three-way winner of Owen Wilson, Amy Smart, and Carmen Electra in Starsky & Hutch).  Since Eclipse is doubly nominated, there could be vote splitting, or Twihards may just vote for both.  But keep in mind that guys won’t be the only ones voting for Black Swan, as the attendance for that ballet pic was driven primarily by women, so ladies slightly older than the Twihard crowd may go the taboo route.

Best Fight
Twilight won here two years ago and then took off last year.  Its primary competition this year is Joseph Gordon-Levitt and the subconscious security’s hotel dance in Inception.  Twilight has already shot down a Christopher Nolan-directed fight (Batman vs. the Joker in The Dark Knight), but this Nolan-directed sequence may just have been the best movie scene of last year.  Again, that may not be enough to overcome the overwhelming nature of Twilight fandom, but awesome action does matter to the MTV crowd, as demonstrated by The Matrix dominating the 2000 MTV Awards.

And believe it or not, there are categories without any Twilight nominees.  Here’s how those might shake down:

Best Villain
Tom Felton
 won for Harry Potter last year, and he’s the favorite to win again, even though he’s not the primary villain and he only appeared in about ten minutes of this chapter.  Based on the fact that Tom was nominated over Ralph Fiennes, the older nominees (Christoph Waltz, Mickey Rourke, and Ned Beatty) may be too far out of the age bracket, but Leighton Meester may have a chance for an upset.

Best Comedic Performance
Easy A was the only one of the movies represented in this category that was a significant hit relative to expectations, so Emma Stone may just be the first ever female comedic winner.

Best Scared-As-S**t Performance
Inception is the only movie here that was actually a hit, but Ellen Page’s wasn’t exactly a primarily “scared” role.  So this will probably go to someone teenager-y like Minka Kelly in The Roommate (unless it goes to someone exorcism-y like Ashley Bell in The Last Exorcism).

Best Jaw Dropping Moment
There is nothing that stands out this year like a naked Ken Jeong last year.  So, inappropriately enough, this will probably go to Justin Bieber for the same reason that Twilight will win every other category.

Biggest Badass Star
I’m assuming that enough voters will agree that Alex Pettyfer has no business being in this category.  And Joseph Gordon-Levitt is not primarily thought of as a badass.  Though Chloë Grace Moretz may have a chance (I’m pulling for her – I mean, badass/Kick-Ass – hello!), this will likely come down to a battle between the star wattage of Smith vs. Downey.  MTV voters have a knack for rewarding sequel performances when they should have awarded – if anything – the initial chapter’s performance (Neve Campbell in Scream 2, Tom Cruise in Mission: Impossible II), so Robert Downey, Jr. is the one to beat.

Best Line from a Movie
I appreciate that Tom Hardy’s quip from Inception was nominated, but it is probably too cheeky for the MTV crowd.  This being a new category, I can’t say for sure how I see it shaking down, but I think – I hope – that the winner will have come from the pen of Aaron Sorkin, and this being MTV, I give the edge to Justin Timberlake (along with Andrew Garfield).

MTV Movie Awards Premature Post

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Some of you may have seen an accidental preview of my post on the 2011 MTV Movie Awards, which I inadvertently published when I meant to merely save the draft.  You may have noticed that it looked a tad incomplete.  The finished version will be up soon.

My Emmy Thoughts, Part 2

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Apparently, I do not watch as many dramas as I do comedies.  Or I do not watch as many quality dramas as I do quality comedies.  When I consider all the dramas I follow, I do not find enough potential contenders to fill out each dramatic category for the Emmys.  Since I can only reasonably limit myself to making my picks among the shows that I watch, I will only make a few choices per category, instead of rounding out the entire list of nominations as I did with the comedies.

Best Drama
Lost won this category its first season, and it ought to bookend that win with another in its essentially satisfying final year.  Fringe has transcended its status as sci-fi procedural, laying thick some real emotional heft on its characters.  Other dramas that I hear are good include Breaking Bad, Mad Men, and True Blood.

Lead Actor
John Noble is probably entered in the supporting race, but his role as Walter Bishop on Fringe is big enough for him to be considered a lead.  Whichever race he ends up in, he ought to earn a nod for a performance that has been funny, poignant, and all-in-all, stunning.

Lead Actress
We all know that the best thing about Gossip Girl is Leighton Meester.  But not all of us know that she is so good that she is deserving of an Emmy nomination.  Well, for those of you who don’t know, she is.  She simultaneously embodies and subverts the quintessential nighttime soap teen queen role, and she always looks great doing it.

Supporting Actor
The cast of Lost was aware that this was their last season, and they stepped up their games accordingly.  Terry O’Quinn went balls-to-the-wall and had his best season yet in a dual role as Locke and Fake Locke/Smokey.  Josh Holloway brought Sawyer down to a dark side with gumption following the death of Juliet.  In the beginning of the season, I feared that Ben Linus’ prominence would be diminished, but Michael Emerson ultimately had as much as usual to chew on and could make it two in a row.  On Fringe, Joshua Jackson’s quietly confident work has gone unheralded for too long.  Now that Boston Legal is over, that means no more William Shatner in this category.  So who will fill the token nomination of a role on a drama that is more comedic than dramatic?  How about the loopy Fran Kranz of Dollhouse?  (Too bad he can only fill it for only one year since Dollhouse is already off the air.)  If we want to fill this category out with a sixth, we can go back to Lost, either with Nestor Carbonell, who dug deep into the psyche of Richard Alpert, or Henry Ian Cusick as Desmond, who deserves a spot here if only for being the only person ever who sounds cool when calling people, “brother.”

Supporting Actress
The best part of the somewhat promising remake of V? That would be the profoundly chilling leader of the Visitors, Anna, played to icy perfection by Morena Baccarin.  For a more matronly and friendlier version of icy, there is the very English Olivia Williams of Dollhouse.

Guest Actor and Actress
Jacob and the Man in Black ultimately did not appear often enough on Lost to fit into the supporting category, so Mark Pellegrino and Titus Welliver will have to duke it out here.  I am not as enthusiastic about them as I would like to be, since they gave their best performances in the season 5 finale.  But they were still freakishly solid.  Leonard Nimoy was appropriately regal on Fringe.  And Alan Tudyk went completely insane as one of the V’s.  As for guest actress?  Umm … Summer Glau on Dollhouse?  Pam Grier on Smallville?  Katey Sagal on Lost?  Actually, there was at least one female guest appearance whose quality I can attest to without hesitation: Martha Plimpton as the multilayered (surprisingly so for a guest role) Sheriff Mathis on the “Northwest Passage” episode of Fringe.

My Emmy Thoughts, Part 1

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The Emmy nominations will be announced this upcoming Thursday, July 8, and as those of you who follow my blog and/or know me personally can attest, I follow a lot of TV shows.  Therefore, unsurprisingly enough, I have some thoughts on how the Emmy nominations should turn out.  This is not what I would call a “dream ballot,” because the Emmys are rather strange and not worth predicting or dreaming about.  Among the choices for nominees are usually some legitimate contenders, some not-so-deserving contenders, and some out-of-left-field, I’m-not-really-sure-if-they-are-deserving contenders.  Thus, I have no dreams that my choices could match those of the nominators.  But I still feel strongly enough to share my thoughts.  Today, I will start off with the comedy categories.  Tomorrow, drama.

Best Comedy
30 Rock has deservedly won the statue for best comedy the past three years, so I was shocked – shocked! – when I discovered that Parks and Recreation (a show I started watching mainly because I watched whatever was on NBC’s Thursday night comedy block) turned out to be the most consistently funny show of the year.  Last year, Family Guy entered itself in the Comedy category instead of the Animation wing and was awarded with a nomination.  I agreed with the move on principle but did not believe that the season was strong enough for a nomination; this season, however, was.  Modern Family always makes its viewer feel good, mainly due to laughter, never due to schmaltz.  And Community is just too idiosyncratic for any of the remaining contenders to beat it out for that final spot.
1. Parks and Recreation
2. 30 Rock
3. Family Guy
4. Modern Family
5. Community

Lead Actor
Last year, I actually thought that Jim Parsons should win over Alec Baldwin.  This year, I think they were equal.  I am sort of leaning towards Jim, since Alec already has 3 wins and Jim has 0 … how about a tie?  Though The Office turned off some of its fans this year, Steve Carrell’s performance was as strong as ever.  Because Joel McHale was surrounded by such a wild supporting cast, it took me a while to appreciate his work on Community, but he does deserve a spot.  I would have picked Ty Burrell here, but the entire Modern Family cast entered in the supporting categories, so that leaves a spot for Matthew Morrison, who was funny enough to not be hampered by Glee’s status as a dramedy.
1. Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock/Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
3. Steve Carrell, The Office
4. Joel McHale, Community
5. Matthew Morrison, Glee

Lead Actress
I wish I had more to say in this category, but there are only two sitcoms I watch with lead actresses.  I would have put Julie Bowen here, but see the explanation about Ty Burrell above.  Anyway, I do not need to be familiar with any other female-led comedies to know that this is Amy Poehler’s category all the way.  Tina Fey was as iconic as ever as Liz Lemon, but she was upstaged by her former SNL cast mate.
1. Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
2. Tina Fey, 30 Rock

Supporting Actor
This has easily been the most crowded Emmy category for the past several years, and it remains so, even though Arrested Development has been off the air for four years!  There better be at least six nominees this year, and I would even recommend ten (and I am having trouble even sticking to that).  Tracy Morgan must win this category at some point in his 30 Rock tenure, but this year belongs to Danny Pudi, who has crafted the role of a lifetime in Abed Nadir.  Ty Burrell makes things even more crowded by entering as supporting instead of lead.  Nick Offerman has a beautiful mustache as Ron Swanson.  I hear that Chevy Chase is a jerk in real life; on TV, he is hilarious, jerk or no.  Eric Stonestreet is the funniest gay family member ever.  And Aziz Ansari can be somewhat annoying as a stand-up, but he has put together an enjoyably balanced performance as Tom Haverford.
1. Danny Pudi, Community
2. Tracy Morgan, 30 Rock
3. Ty Burrell, Modern Family
4. Nick Offerman, Parks and Recreation
5. Chevy Chase, Community
6. Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
7. Aziz Ansari, Parks and Recreation
8. Neil Patrick Harris, How I Met Your Mother
9. Ed O’Neill, Modern Family
10. Jack McBrayer, 30 Rock
11. Rainn Wilson, The Office

Supporting Actress
I would be completely behind the absurdly idiosyncratically deadpan Aubrey Plaza winning here, if not for Jane Lynch, whose Sue Sylvester has already reached icon status and is obviously the best part of Glee.  Aubrey is the strongest number 2 in any of the comedy categories.  Alison Brie pulls off cute, prudish, earnest, annoying, endearing, guilt-inducing, and consoling – often in the same sentence – as Annie on Community.  And in the category of “why not,” let’s go with Retta Sirleaf as Donna on Parks and Recreation, who transcends the stereotype of the “mm-hmm”-ing sassy black woman.
1. Jane Lynch, Glee
2. Aubrey Plaza, Parks and Recreation
3. Alison Brie, Community
4. Jane Krakowski, 30 Rock
5. Retta Sirleaf, Parks and Recreation

Guest Actor and Actress
This category has lately been dominated by SNL guests, so let’s go with the two best hosts of the season – Jon Hamm and Betty White.  We can also go with current SNL cast members making appearances on other shows, such as Will Forte on 30 Rock.  Then there is Judy Greer, who guest starred on at least three sitcoms this year (The Big Bang Theory, How I Met Your Mother, and Modern Family) and two of them (BBT and HIMYM) within two weeks of each other.  Then we can mix it up and go with a non-big name guest star: Melissa Rauch as Bernadette, Wolowitz’s main squeeze on BBT.  And though she only appeared in the last two minutes of the season, Mayim Bialik provided one of the most indelible moments on BBT as a maybe potential love interest for Sheldon.
1. Jon Hamm, Saturday Night Live
2. Zach Galifianakis, Saturday Night Live
3. Michael Sheen, 30 Rock
4. Will Forte, 30 Rock
5. John Oliver, Community

1. Betty White, Saturday Night Live
2. Judy Greer, Modern Family
3. Melissa Rauch, The Big Bang Theory
4. Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
5. Christine Baranski, The Big Bang Theory

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