Jeff "Jmunney" Malone's Self-Styled "Expert" Thoughts on Movies, TV, Music, and the Rest of Pop Culture
March 11, 2023
Awards Shows, Cinema, Oscars, Television 95th Academy Awards, 95th Oscars, Academy Awards, Everything Everywhere All at Once, Oscar Predictions, Oscars Leave a comment
In another universe, I would have loved to win Oscars with you. (CREDIT: Allyson Riggs/A24)
Here’s a right quick rundown of the Oscar race’s likeliest winners on Sunday, March 12, 2023, and whom I would vote for if I had a ballot.
Best Picture
Prediction: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Preference: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Best Director
Prediction: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
Preference: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
March 26, 2022
Awards Shows, Cinema, Oscars, Television 94th Academy Awards, 94th Oscars, Academy Awards, Oscar Predictions, Oscars Leave a comment
“Children of Deaf Adults”? More for like “Oscars FOR Deaf Adults!” (CREDIT: Apple TV+)
Here’s my quick rundown of who might just grab the gold on Sunday, March 27, 2022, and whom I would vote for if I had a ballot.
Best Picture
Prediction: CODA
Preference: King Richard
Best Director
Prediction: Jane Campion
Preference: Steven Spielberg
April 23, 2021
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It’s looking good for Nomadland (CREDIT: Searchlight Pictures/YouTube Screenshot)
Here’s my quick rundown of who’s most likely to grab the gold on Sunday, April 25, 2021, and whom I would vote for if I had a ballot.
Best Picture
Prediction: Nomadland
Preference: Promising Young Woman
Best Director
Prediction: Chloé Zhao
Preference: Emerald Fennell
February 8, 2020
Awards Shows, Cinema, Oscars, Television 92nd Academy Awards, 92nd Oscars, Academy Awards, Oscar Predictions, Oscars Leave a comment
CREDIT: NEON CJ Entertainment
Here’s my quick rundown of who’s most likely to grab the gold on Sunday, February 9, 2020, and whom I would vote for if I had a ballot.
Best Picture
Prediction: Parasite (unless 1917 is fully dominant)
Preference: Parasite
Best Director
Prediction: Sam Mendes
Preference: Bong Joon-ho
February 22, 2019
Awards Shows, Cinema, Oscars, Television 91st Academy Awards, 91st Oscars, Academy Awards, Oscar Predictions, Oscars Leave a comment
CREDIT: Carlos Somonte/Netflix
Here’s my final rundown of who I will think will be taking home the little gold men on Sunday, February 24, 2019, and whom I would vote for if I had a ballot.
Best Picture
Prediction: Roma is tied for the most nominations, and it’s won the most noteworthy precursor awards.
Preference: BlacKkKlansman is absolutely electric, a quality that is all too rare in Best Picture winners.
Best Director
Prediction: Expect Alfonso Cuarón to continue the recent Mexican dominance in this category.
Preference: A win for Spike Lee would have lifetime achievement oomph, and it would also be deserved in particular for BlacKkKlansman.
February 29, 2016
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(The Ex Machina VFX team accepts their award.)
I was 17/24 in my Oscar predictions. Here are the 7 categories I got wrong, ranked from least to most surprising:
1. Film Editing
I Predicted: The Big Short
What Won: Mad Max: Fury Road
This was always a tight two-way fight; the surprise would have been if anything else had won.
2. Documentary Short
I Predicted: Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
What Won: A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
In Doc Short, I look for what can be construed as “important.” Trouble is, that descriptor could fit every nominee.
3. Animated Short
I Predicted: World of Tomorrow
What Won: Bear Story
I need to stop using the logic of “It’s so good – no way the Academy won’t vote for it!” World of Tomorrow just does not fit the charming and/or goofy mold of most Animated Short winners; Bear Story does (though it was obscured a bit by the more high-profile Sanjay’s Super Team).
4. Best Picture
I Predicted: The Big Short
What Won: Spotlight
As I suspected, it came down to the preferential ballot; unfortunately for us prognosticators, that worked in two films’ favor.
5. Supporting Actor
I Predicted: Sylvester Stallone
What Won: Mark Rylance
This race was always wide-open, even though Stallone was really the only one with any precursor indicators.
6. Original Song
I Predicted: “Til It Happens to You”
What Won: “Writing’s on the Wall”
I guess Sam Smith was second-most likely, but it sure looked like GaGa was way out in front.
7. Visual Effects
I Predicted: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
What Won: Ex Machina
A film with a budget as modest as Ex Machina‘s winning Visual Effects is simply unprecedented. And with such tough competition, I would have never predicted it happening this year. (It is totally worthy, though!)
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