97th Oscars Predictions/Preferences

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The votes haven been tabulated (CREDIT: Focus Features/Screenshot)

Okay, now I’m going to guess who and what I think will win at the 97th Oscars on Sunday, March 2, 2025, and you’re in luck, because I’m also going to reveal who I would select if I had a ballot.

Best Picture
Prediction: Conclave
Preference: Conclave

Best Director
Prediction:  Sean Baker
Preference: Coralie Fargeat

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The 2024 jmunney Academy Awards

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You know, a lot of Jokers have won Oscars (CREDIT: Altered Innocence/Screenshot)

The Oscar winners are determined by the thousands of members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences. But what if … they were chosen by just one person? If I were singlehandedly in charge of running the Oscars, here’s how they would go down.

Nominees are listed alphabetically, winners in bold.

Best Picture
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Furiosa
I Saw the TV Glow
The People’s Joker

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Lead vs. Supporting Conundrums: 2024 Edition

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Respect. (CREDIT: Golden Globes/Screenshot)

You may have noticed that trophies are being handed out more than usual lately. You may have also noticed that the organizations that deliver those awards may be making questionable categorization decisions.

Around this time of year, I like to assess the situation and offer my own take on certain dilemmas, in particular whether a certain movie performance was a Lead or Supporting role. To be fair to the Oscars and other awards ceremonies, these decisions are subjective and not always clear. Reasonable people can disagree on these matters. But I’m not one to have my enthusiasm dampened my ambiguity!

Ergo, here is a selection of performances from 2024 getting awards attention and whether I think they should be considered Lead or Supporting.

(There are still a few movies in the awards conversation that I haven’t seen yet, so I may update my thoughts if I feel compelled to.)

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96th Oscars Predictions/Preferences

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I am become Oscar, destroyer of Academies (CREDIT: Melinda Sue Gordon/Universal Pictures)

Here’s a right quick rundown of the Oscar race’s likeliest winners on Sunday, March 10, 2024, and whom I would vote for if I had a ballot.

Best Picture
Prediction: Oppenheimer
Preference: Oppenheimer

Best Director
Prediction: Christopher Nolan
Preference: Christopher Nolan

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Lead vs. Supporting Conundrums: 2023 Edition

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Take the Lead? (CREDIT: IFC Films/Screenshot; Apple TV/Screenshot)

Whenever the Oscars come around, I like to enter the discussion about whether certain acting performances should be categorized as Lead or Supporting. There’s not too many I felt compelled to talk about this year, just a couple:

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The 2023 jmunney Academy Awards

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Are the Oscars on TikTok? (CREDIT: Universal Pictures)

If I were in charge of unilaterally selecting the Oscars, here is who would be selected. Nominees are listed alphabetically, winners in bold.

Best Picture
All of Us Strangers
American Fiction
Are You There God? It’s Me, Magaret.
The Holdovers
M3GAN

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95th Oscars Predictions/Preferences

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In another universe, I would have loved to win Oscars with you. (CREDIT: Allyson Riggs/A24)

Here’s a right quick rundown of the Oscar race’s likeliest winners on Sunday, March 12, 2023, and whom I would vote for if I had a ballot.

Best Picture
Prediction: Everything Everywhere All at Once
Preference: Everything Everywhere All at Once

Best Director
Prediction: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert
Preference: Daniel Kwan and Daniel Scheinert

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The 2022 jmunney Academy Awards

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Every Award Everywhere All at Once (CREDIT: Allyson Riggs/A24)

If I were in charge of unilaterally selecting the Oscars, here is who would be selected. Nominees are listed alphabetically, winners in bold.

Best Picture
Beavis and Butt-Head Do the Universe
Everything Everywhere All at Once
Pearl
Petite Maman
Turning Red

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Lead vs. Supporting Conundrums: 2022 Edition

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A Lead Actor and a Supporting Actor? Or 2 Lead Actors (CREDIT: Jonathan Hession/Courtesy of Searchlight Pictures. © 2022 20th Century Studios All Rights Reserved.)

Every awards season, there’s a bit of discussion revolving around certain movie performances that straddle the line between Lead and Supporting roles. Sometimes, actors are blatantly submitted in the wrong category, perhaps to avoid competition with a co-star, or because of perceived lack of competition with other movies. And other times, it’s not always easy to say for certain which category is the right one. So I’m here to offer my assessment! It’s a little late this year, seeing as the Oscar nominations have already been announced, but I still felt like chiming in.

(Feel free to chime in with your own takes on this topic if you have any.)

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94th Oscars Predictions/Preferences

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“Children of Deaf Adults”? More for like “Oscars FOR Deaf Adults!” (CREDIT: Apple TV+)

Here’s my quick rundown of who might just grab the gold on Sunday, March 27, 2022, and whom I would vote for if I had a ballot.

Best Picture
Prediction: CODA
Preference: King Richard

Best Director
Prediction: Jane Campion
Preference: Steven Spielberg

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