Early Oscars 2016 Wishlist

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BaaBaaBaa

Lead Actress
Anya Taylor-Joy, The Witch

Lead Actor
Ralph Ineson, The Witch

Supporting Actress
Ellie Grainger, The Witch

Supporting Actor
Lucas Dawson, The Witch

Film Editing
Louise Ford, The Witch

Makeup and Hairstyling
The Witch

Director
Robert Eggers, The Witch

Best Picture
The Witch

Oscar Surprises: How Surprising Were They?

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ExMachinaVFXTeam(The Ex Machina VFX team accepts their award.)

I was 17/24 in my Oscar predictions. Here are the 7 categories I got wrong, ranked from least to most surprising:

1. Film Editing
I Predicted: The Big Short
What Won: Mad Max: Fury Road
This was always a tight two-way fight; the surprise would have been if anything else had won.

2. Documentary Short
I Predicted: Claude Lanzmann: Spectres of the Shoah
What Won: A Girl in the River: The Price of Forgiveness
In Doc Short, I look for what can be construed as “important.” Trouble is, that descriptor could fit every nominee.

3. Animated Short
I Predicted: World of Tomorrow
What Won: Bear Story
I need to stop using the logic of “It’s so good – no way the Academy won’t vote for it!” World of Tomorrow just does not fit the charming and/or goofy mold of most Animated Short winners; Bear Story does (though it was obscured a bit by the more high-profile Sanjay’s Super Team).

4. Best Picture
I Predicted: The Big Short
What Won: Spotlight
As I suspected, it came down to the preferential ballot; unfortunately for us prognosticators, that worked in two films’ favor.

5. Supporting Actor
I Predicted: Sylvester Stallone
What Won: Mark Rylance
This race was always wide-open, even though Stallone was really the only one with any precursor indicators.

6. Original Song
I Predicted: “Til It Happens to You”
What Won: “Writing’s on the Wall”
I guess Sam Smith was second-most likely, but it sure looked like GaGa was way out in front.

7. Visual Effects
I Predicted: Star Wars: The Force Awakens
What Won: Ex Machina
A film with a budget as modest as Ex Machina‘s winning Visual Effects is simply unprecedented. And with such tough competition, I would have never predicted it happening this year. (It is totally worthy, though!)

The 2015 Jeff Malone Academy Awards

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big_short_yelling

If I were in charge of unilaterally selecting the Oscars, here is who would be recognized. Nominees are listed in order of preference, winners at the top.

Best Picture
1. The Big Short
2. Spotlight
3. Ex Machina
4. Inside Out
5. Star Wars: The Force Awakens

Lead Actress
1. Alison Brie, Sleeping with Other People
2. Brie Larson, Room
3. Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
4. Charlize Theron, Mad Max: Fury Road
5. Cate Blanchett, Carol

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Oscar Nominations Reactions

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-Sad to see no “See You Again” in Best Song, but at least the correct song from 50 Shades of Grey was picked.
-This is the most spread out I can ever remember the field being, as expected. Carol, Star Wars, and Straight Outta Compton had to be pretty close to Best Picture noms. Also Sicario, amazingly. And Ex Machina, too.
Room got more overall support than I was expecting. Lenny Abrahamson is your iconoclastic Director pick this year.
-Most of what I’m happy to see was expected or close to it, i.e., plenty of love for The Big Short, Stallone for Supporting, Mad Max for Costume.
-Denmark’s been doing well in Foreign Language Film this decade.
-Glad to see The 100 Year Old Man Who Climbed Out Of The Window And Disappeared for Makeup and Hair. I haven’t seen it, but it’s probably the best title of the year.

The 2014 Jeff Malone Academy Awards

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If I were in charge of unilaterally selecting the Oscars, here is who would be recognized.  Winners are at the top, and nominees are listed most deserving first.

Best Picture
1. Whiplash
2. The Lego Movie
3. Gone Girl
4. Nightcrawler
5. Snowpiercer

Lead Actress
1. Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
2. Scarlett Johansson, Under the Skin
3. Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
4. Jennifer Lawrence, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part 1
5. Emily Blunt, Into the Woods

Lead Actor
1. Jake Gyllenhaal, Nightcrawler
2. Michael Keaton, Birdman
3. Ralph Fiennes, The Grand Budapest Hotel
4. David Oyelowo, Selma
5. Andy Serkis, Dawn of the Planet of the Apes

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Jmunney’s 2013 Oscar Prediction Contest Results

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Congratulations to George Monkey and The Narrator Returns for winning my Oscar contest, correctly predicting the winners in 22 out of 24 categories.  George missed Animated Short and Live Action Short, while The Narrator missed Animated Short and Documentary Feature.  The full results are below.

T1. George Monkey – 22

T1. The Narrator Returns – 22

3. Brenton Andreasik – 21

T4. Nathaniel Clark – 20

T4. Joseph Hiegel – 20

T4. Neil Lapinsky – 20

T4. Trish Mistric – 20

T4. Jeff Smith – 20

9. Bobby Umar – 19

10. Ananda Umar – 18

11. Kaity Malone – 14

12. Darin Robbins – 8

The Oscar Winners:

Best Picture
12 Years a Slave

Lead Actor
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Lead Actress
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Supporting Actor
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Supporting Actress
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave

Director
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity

Foreign Language Film
The Great Beauty (Italy)

Adapted Screenplay
John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave

Original Screenplay
Spike Jonze, Her

Animated Feature Film
Frozen

Cinematography
Gravity

Sound Mixing
Gravity

Sound Editing
Gravity

Original Score
Steven Price, Gravity

Original Song
“Let It Go,” by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez, Frozen

Costume Design
The Great Gatsby

Documentary Feature
20 Feet From Stardom

Documentary (Short Subject)
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life

Film Editing
Gravity

Animated Short Film
Mr. Hublot

Live Action Short Film
Helium

Makeup and Hairstyling
Dallas Buyers Club

Production Design
The Great Gatsby

Visual Effects
Gravity

The 2013 Jeff Malone Academy Awards

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If I were in charge of unilaterally selecting the nominees and winners for the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences – and let’s be honest, we all know that is eventually going to happen – then here are what and who the recognized films and filmmakers would be for this year’s ceremony (winners are in bold and ALL CAPS):

Best Picture
American Hustle
Philomena
Prisoners
12 Years a Slave
YOU’RE NEXT

Lead Actor
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
LEONARDO DiCAPRIO, THE WOLF OF WALL STREET
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Lead Actress
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
JUDI DENCH, PHILOMENA
Adèle Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color
Mia Wasikowska, Stoker

Supporting Actor
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
JAMES FRANCO, SPRING BREAKERS
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jude Law, Side Effects

Supporting Actress
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Brie Larson, Don Jon
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
June Squibb, Nebraska
LILI TAYLOR, THE CONJURING

Animated Feature
Despicable Me 2
FROZEN
Monsters University

Cinematography
Emmanuel Lubezki, Gravity
Phedon Papamichael, Nebraska
Ben Sarasin, Pain & Gain
ROGER DEAKINS, PRISONERS
Benoît Debie, Spring Breakers

Costume Design
MICHAEL WILKINSON, AMERICAN HUSTLE
Catherine Martin, The Great Gatsby
Trish Summerville, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Patricia Norris, 12 Years a Slave
Guy Speranza, The World’s End

Director
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
DAVID O. RUSSELL, AMERICAN HUSTLE
Denis Villeneuve, Prisoners
Adam Wingard, You’re Next
Edgar Wright, The World’s End

Film Editing
Jay Cassidy, Crispin Struthers, and Alan Baumgarten, American Hustle
Christopher Rouse, Captain Phillips
Kirk Morri, The Conjuring
DOUGLAS CRISE, SPRING BREAKERS
Paul Machliss, The World’s End

Makeup and Hairstyling
AMERICAN HUSTLE
Evil Dead
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
Prisoners

Original Score
STEVEN PRICE, GRAVITY
William Butler and Owen Pallett, Her
Mark Orton, Nebraska
Thomas Newman, Saving Mr. Banks
Thomas Newman, Side Effects

Original Song
“Happy,” written by Pharrell Williams, Despicable Me 2
“Ordinary Love,” written by Paul Hewson, Dave Evans, Adam Clayton, and Larry Mullen, Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
“PLEASE MR. KENNEDY,” WRITTEN BY ED RUSH, GEORGE CROMARTY, T BONE BURNETT, JUSTIN TIMBERLAKE, JOEL & ETHAN COEN, INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS

Production Design
The Conjuring
GRAVITY
The Great Gatsby
Her
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire

Sound Editing
Oliver Tarney, Captain Phillips
GLENN FREEMANTLE, GRAVITY
Wylie Stateman, Lone Survivor
Scott Martin Gershin, Pacific Rim
Smokey Cloud and Scott Weintraub, Stoker

Sound Mixing
Skip Livesay, Niv Adiri, Christopher Benstead, and Chris Munro, Gravity
Skip Livesay, Greg Orloff, and Peter F. Kurland, Inside Llewyn Davis
Andy Koyama, Beau Borders, and David Brownlow, Lone Survivor
Glen Gauthier and Tim Le Blanc, Pacific Rim
GLEN TREW AND JIM BOLT, STOKER

Visual Effects
GRAVITY
The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
Pacific Rim

Adapted Screenplay
Billy Ray, Captain Phillips
Simon Beaufoy and Michael Arndt, The Hunger Games: Catching Fire
STEVE COOGAN AND JEFF POPE, PHILOMENA
John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
Terrence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street

Original Screenplay
ERIC WARREN SINGER AND DAVID O. RUSSELL, AMERICAN HUSTLE
Spike Jonze, Her
Aaron Guzikowski, Prisoners
Simon Pegg and Edgar Wright, The World’s End
Simon Barret, You’re Next

2 DAYS LEFT TO ENTER JMUNNEY’S 2013 OSCAR CONTEST!!!

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There’s still time to enter the Oscar prediction contests.  Here’s a reprint of the details:
It’s time for another Oscar contest presented by me, a guy who hosts Oscar contests. The ceremony will air at 8:00 PM Eastern Standard Time on Sunday, March 2, on ABC. This particular contest is of the simple pick the winners variety. In the event of a tie in any category, anyone who picked any one of the winners in that category will receive full credit.

The winner will receive a video of me congratulating that winner on his or her win that will be sent to that person and posted on YouTube.

The list of nominees appears below. To enter the contest, predict the winner in each category and e-mail your predictions to me at jmunneyoscarcontest@gmail.com. (Note the new e-mail address this year.) All entries must be received by 7:59 (Eastern) on Sunday, March 2, 2014.

Best Picture
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Philomena
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Lead Actor
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Lead Actress
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Supporting Actor
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Supporting Actress
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska

Animated Feature
The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
The Wind Rises

Cinematography
The Grandmaster
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
Prisoners

Costume Design
American Hustle
The Grandmaster
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
12 Years a Slave

Director
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorcese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Documentary Feature
The Act of Killing
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
The Square
20 Feet From Stardom

Documentary Short
CaveDigger
Facing Fear
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall

Film Editing
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
12 Years a Slave

Foreign Language Film
The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
Omar (Palestine)

Makeup and Hairstyling
Dallas Buyers Club
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
The Lone Ranger

Original Score
John Williams, The Book Thief
Steven Price, Gravity
William Bulter and Owen Pallett, Her
Alexandre Desplat, Philomena
Thomas Newman, Saving Mr. Banks

Original Song
“Happy,” by Pharrell Williams, Despicable Me 2
“Let It Go,” by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez, Frozen
“The Moon Song,” by Karen O and Spike Jonze, Her
“Ordinary Love,” by Paul Hewson, Dave Evans, Adam Clayton, and Larry Mullen (that is, U2), Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

Production Design
American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby
Her
12 Years a Slave

Animated Short Film
Feral
Get a Horse!
Mr. Hublot
Possessions
Room on the Broom

Live Action Short Film
Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me)
Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything)
Helium
Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)
The Voorman Problem

Sound Editing
All is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor

Sound Mixing
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lone Survivor

Visual Effects
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

Adapted Screenplay
Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, and Ethan Hawke, Before Midnight
Billy Ray, Captain Phillips
Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope, Philomena
John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
Terence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street

Original Screenplay
Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell, American Hustle
Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
Craig Borten and Melissa Wallack, Dallas Buyers Club
Spike Jonze, Her
Bob Nelson, Nebraska

Jmunney’s 2013 Oscar Prediction Contest

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It’s time for another Oscar contest presented by me, a guy who hosts Oscar contests.  The ceremony will air at 8:00 PM Eastern Standard Time on Sunday, March 2, on ABC.  This particular contest is of the simple pick the winners variety.  In the event of a tie in any category, anyone who picked any one of the winners in that category will receive full credit.

The winner will receive a video of me congratulating that winner on his or her win that will be sent to that person and posted on YouTube.

The list of nominees appears below.  To enter the contest, predict the winner in each category and e-mail your predictions to me at jmunneyoscarcontest@gmail.com.  (Note the new e-mail address this year.)  All entries must be received by 7:59 (Eastern) on Sunday, March 2, 2014.

Best Picture
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Philomena
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

Lead Actor
Christian Bale, American Hustle
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Lead Actress
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench, Philomena
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County

Supporting Actor
Barkhad Abdi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

Supporting Actress
Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
June Squibb, Nebraska

Animated Feature
The Croods
Despicable Me 2
Ernest & Celestine
Frozen
The Wind Rises

Cinematography
The Grandmaster
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
Prisoners

Costume Design
American Hustle
The Grandmaster
The Great Gatsby
The Invisible Woman
12 Years a Slave

Director
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
Alexander Payne, Nebraska
David O. Russell, American Hustle
Martin Scorcese, The Wolf of Wall Street

Documentary Feature
The Act of Killing
Cutie and the Boxer
Dirty Wars
The Square
20 Feet From Stardom

Documentary Short
CaveDigger
Facing Fear
Karama Has No Walls
The Lady in Number 6: Music Saved My Life
Prison Terminal: The Last Days of Private Jack Hall

Film Editing
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
12 Years a Slave

Foreign Language Film
The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Missing Picture (Cambodia)
Omar (Palestine)

Makeup and Hairstyling
Dallas Buyers Club
Jackass Presents: Bad Grandpa
The Lone Ranger

Original Score
John Williams, The Book Thief
Steven Price, Gravity
William Bulter and Owen Pallett, Her
Alexandre Desplat, Philomena
Thomas Newman, Saving Mr. Banks

Original Song
“Happy,” by Pharrell Williams, Despicable Me 2
“Let It Go,” by Kristen Anderson-Lopez and Robert Lopez, Frozen
“The Moon Song,” by Karen O and Spike Jonze, Her
“Ordinary Love,” by Paul Hewson, Dave Evans, Adam Clayton, and Larry Mullen (that is, U2), Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom

Production Design
American Hustle
Gravity
The Great Gatsby
Her
12 Years a Slave

Animated Short Film
Feral
Get a Horse!
Mr. Hublot
Possessions
Room on the Broom

Live Action Short Film
Aquel No Era Yo (That Wasn’t Me)
Avant Que De Tout Perdre (Just Before Losing Everything)
Helium
Pitääkö Mun Kaikki Hoitaa? (Do I Have to Take Care of Everything?)
The Voorman Problem

Sound Editing
All is Lost
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Lone Survivor

Sound Mixing
Captain Phillips
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lone Survivor

Visual Effects
Gravity
The Hobbit: The Desolation of Smaug
Iron Man 3
The Lone Ranger
Star Trek Into Darkness

Adapted Screenplay
Richard Linklater, Julie Delpy, and Ethan Hawke, Before Midnight
Billy Ray, Captain Phillips
Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope, Philomena
John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
Terence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street

Original Screenplay
Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell, American Hustle
Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
Craig Borten and Melissa Wallack, Dallas Buyers Club
Spike Jonze, Her
Bob Nelson, Nebraska

2013 Oscar Nominations Reactions

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HAPPY SURPRISES:
-Christian Bale and Leo for Lead Actor. Tom Hanks being left out, though, is an unhappy surprise, but that is mitigated by his past Oscar recognition and this being such a stacked category.
-Jonah Hill for Supporting Actor, for a performance that was … something else.
-I was “happy” to see Pharrell up for Original Song.

UNHAPPY SURPRISES
-No “Please Mr. Kennedy”?!
-No American Hustle for Makeup? I guess too much of it was natural.

[EDITED TO INCLUDE:] NEUTRAL SURPRISES
-No Best Picture (or any major noms) for Inside Llewyn Davis.  There could have been one more Best Picture nom, and I thought Llewyn would have filled it.  The Coen Bros. seem to have a fanbase in the Academy – after all, the presumably more inaccessible A Serious Man snagged a Best Picture nom.
-No Monsters University for Animated Feature – only the second Pixar film (after Cars 2) not to be nominated since this category’s inception.
-No The Past for Foreign Language Film, despite great reviews and Asghar Farhadi winning here for A Separation two years ago.  Apparently it didn’t even make the shortlist.

UNHAPPY NON-SURPRISES
-No Will Forte or James Franco for Supporting Actor.
-Nothing for You’re Next.
-Only 1 nomination for Prisoners.
-Nothing for The World’s End.
-Nothing for Blue is the Warmest Color.
-No sound nominations for Stoker.
-No editing nomination for Spring Breakers.

ALSO OF NOTE
-For the 2nd year in a row, a David O. Russell movie was nominated in all four acting categories. American Hustle is the 15th film to ever have such a distinction, and Russell is the only director to have directed more than one of them.

PREDICTIONS (Obviously these may change after the guild awards.)
12 Years a Slave and American Hustle should take Screenplay (though there’s always the possibility of a quirky winner here).
-Cuarón might win Director even though Gravity probably won’t win Best Picture, but the Best Picture favorites look too strong, so Steve McQueen will probably take it (or Russell).
-Jared Leto is the biggest acting favorite.
-Cate Blanchett is close to a sure thing.
-Supporting Actress looks like a 2-woman race: J-Law vs. Lupita – slight edge to Jen for now.
-Lead Actor could legitimately go to anybody. I’m still thinking Chiwetel as the ever so slight favorite.
-And it all comes down to 12 Years a Slave vs. American Hustle, with 12 Years looking good (for now).

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