Jmunney’s 2010 Oscar Prediction Contest

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ONLY 2 DAYS LEFT!

(Correction: On the original post, I had the nominees for adapted and original screenplay switched up.  A few of you figured this out and made your picks accordingly.  One submitter did not figure it out, but I will transfer those selections to the correct categories, so all the picks will be counted correctly.)

The 2010 Oscars are soon approaching.  The ceremony will air at 8:00 PM Eastern Time on Sunday, February 27, on ABC, to be exact, which means there is still enough time for another Oscar prediction contest.  This particular contest is of the simple pick the winners variety.  The winner will receive nothing, except for bragging rights.  Keep in mind, if you make predictions but do not enter this contest, whatever bragging rights you earn will not be official.  Winning this contest will make those rights official.  Come next year, the prize of this contest may have some monetary value.

Also next year, I am planning to also include an alternative oscar contest, which will quiz you on your predicting abilities for various random aspects of the Oscar results and telecast (How long will the show be?  Who will be the first winner to cry?  Who will have the longest acceptance speech?, etc.).  I did not feel that I had enough time this year to fully do justice to the alternative contest, thus why it will be making its initial appearance next year.

The list of nominees appears below.  To enter the contest, predict the winner in each category and e-mail your predictions to me at jeffmalonesemailaccount@gmail.com.  All entries must be received by 7:59 on Sunday, February 27.

Best Picture 
127 Hours
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Winter’s Bone

Best Actor
Javier Bardem, Biutiful
Jeff Bridges, True Grit
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours

Best Actress
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine

Best Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter
John Hawkes, Winter’s Bone
Jeremy Renner, The Town
Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right
Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech

Best Supporting Actress
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Best Director
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, True Grit
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
David O. Russell, The Fighter

Original Screenplay
Mike Leigh, Another Year
Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson, and Keith Dorrington, The Fighter
Christopher Nolan, Inception
Lisa Cholodenko and Stuart Blumberg, The Kids Are All Right
David Seidler, The King’s Speech

Adapted Screenplay
Danny Boyle and Simon Beaufoy, 127 Hours
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Michael Arndt, John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton, Lee Unkrich, Toy Story 3
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, True Grit
Debra Granik and Anne Rosellini, Winter’s Bone

Documentary Feature
Exit Through the Gift Shop
Gasland
Inside Job
Restrepo
Waste Land

Documentary Short
Killing in the Name
Poster Girl
Strangers No More
Sun Come Up
The Warriors of Qiugang

Animated Feature
How to Train Your Dragon
The Illusionist
Toy Story 3

Foreign Language Film
Biutiful (Mexico)
Dogtooth (Greece)
In a Better World (Denmark)
Incendies (Canada)
Outside the Law (Hors-la-Loi) (Algeria)

Film Editing
127 Hours
Black Swan
The Fighter
The King’s Speech
The Social Network

Cinematography
Black Swan
Inception
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
True Grit

Art Direction
Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 1
Inception
The King’s Speech
True Grit

Animated Short Film
Day & Night
The Gruffalo
Let’s Pollute
The Lost Thing
Madagascar, Carnet de Voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)

Live Action Short Film
The Confession
The Crush
God of Love
Na Wewe
Wish 143

Visual Effects
Alice in Wonderland
Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows – Part 1
Hereafter
Inception
Iron Man 2

Sound Mixing
Inception
The King’s Speech
Salt
The Social Network
True Grit

Sound Editing
Inception
Toy Story 3
TRON: Legacy
True Grit
Unstoppable

Costume Design
Alice in Wonderland
I Am Love
The King’s Speech
The Tempest
True Grit

Makeup
Barney’s Version
The Way Back
The Wolfman

Original Score
A.R. Rahman, 127 Hours
John Powell, How to Train Your Dragon
Hans Zimmer, Inception
Alexandre Desplat, The King’s Speech
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network

Original Song
“If I Rise,” by A.R. Rahman, Dido, and Rollo Armstrong, 127 Hours
“Coming Home,” by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges, and Hillary Lindsey, Country Strong
“I See the Light,” by Alan Menken and Glenn Slater, Tangled
“We Belong Together,” by Randy Newman, Toy Story 3

Oscar Presenters

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It has been announced that the presentation of the acting categories at this year’s Oscars ceremony will not consist of groups of five presenters, one assigned to each nominee, as had been the case the past two years.  That’s too bad, because I had some ideas for whom they could have called on to present.  I preferred last year’s version, in which the presenters were former co-stars (or some other similar relation) of the nominees, as opposed to two years ago, when the presenters were just past winners in that category.  If the five-for-five format had been stuck with, here’s who I would have recommended:

Lead Actress
-John Cusack, for Annette Bening: In case Bening wins this year, it would be nice to have her co-star from The Grifters, which was the first movie she was nominated for.
-Tom Cruise, for Nicole Kidman: I’m sure they get along these days.  Tom doesn’t make a lot of live appearances on TV these days, so whenever he does, it is always a treat.
-Bill Engvall, for Jennifer Lawrence: I thought that Jennifer had come out of nowhere.  It turns out that she’d been playing one of the kids on The Bill Engvall Show for the past few years.
-Andy Samberg or Chris Parnell, for Natalie Portman: Before Black Swan, Natalie showed some edge in the classic SNL digital short, “Natalie Raps.”
-Joshua Jackson, for Michelle Williams: With Fringe being a great show, Joshua has had as much success lately as his former Dawson’s Creek-mate.

Lead Actor
-Johnny Depp, for Javier Bardem: Javier’s role in Before Night Falls alongside Depp was likely quite the contrast to Biutiful.
-Sam Elliott, for Jeff Bridges: I figured for Jeff, we should go with someone from his last Coen bros. joint, The Big Lebowski.  Julianne Moore, who would be there anyway for The Kids Are All Right, would have made sense, but she was already used for Jeff last year.  Luckily, Sam makes sense as well and fits in with the Western element of True Grit.
-Kristen Stewart, for Jesse Eisenberg: News of Kristen Stewart presenting could have drawn some Twihards to watching the show, but it could have also turned some people off.  But her performance in Adventureland alongside Eisenberg proved that she actually could act.
-Jennifer Ehle, for Colin Firth: They were iconic together in Pride and Prejudice, and they reunited in The King’s Speech.
-Seth Rogen, for James Franco: Seth, Franco’s Pineapple Express costar, could explain how playing a guy with his arm trapped under a rock is similar to playing a pothead.

Supporting Actress
-Will Ferrell, for Amy Adams: Amy Adams’ characters have a thing for athletes, with Ricky Bobby having preceded Micky Ward.
-Daniel Radcliffe, for Helena Bonham Carter: Harry Potter himself could speak for all Brits by discussing the appropriateness of Bellatrix Lestrange portraying the Queen Mum.
-Robert De Niro, for Melissa Leo: Melissa costarred in a couple of movies with De Niro, albeit two of De Niro’s worst (Everybody’s Fine and Righteous Kill).
-Jeff Bridges, for Hailee Steinfeld: Like Gabourey Sidibe and Carey Mulligan last year, Hailee hadn’t been in anything big before this role, so the presenter would have to be a current costar.
-Guy Pearce, for Jacki Weaver: Most of Jacki’s costars over the course of her career would be unfamiliar to American audiences, so it would make sense to go with her most recognizable costar from Animal Kingdom.

Supporting Actor
-John Malkovich, for Christian Bale: Malkovich costarred with Bale in one of his earliest roles in Empire of the Sun.  Bale was already singularly intense at the age of 13.
-Ian McShane or Timothy Olyphant, for John Hawkes, Hawkes’ biggest role before Winter’s Bone was on the HBO series Deadwood, so either McShane or Olyphant would be appropriate.
-Rose Byrne, for Jeremy Renner: In 2007, Byrne and Renner costarred in an unnecessary, mildly entertaining sequel (28 Weeks Later).  Since then, in the past couple of years, Renner has racked up two Oscar noms, and Byrne two Emmy noms (for Damages).
-Kirsten Dunst, for Mark Ruffalo: Mark Ruffalo had a weird relationship with Kirsten Dunst in Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind.  He had a weird relationship with everybody in The Kids Are All Right.
-Kel Mitchell, for Geoffrey Rush: Kel and Geoffrey Rush were both in Mystery Men.  Considering that his old buddy Kenan has found success on SNL, Kel deserves whatever sort of exposure he can get.

Natty Pups

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The trailer for Bridesmaids – the first female-centric Judd Apatow production, directed by Freaks and Geeks alum Paul Feig – has been released.  It stars Kristen Wiig as Maya Rudolph’s maid of honor, but as you watch the trailer, keep an eye out for the real highlight at the 1:51-1:52 mark:

The puppies are awesome not only because they are so cute, but they are also awesome because it is not clear at all what they have to do with the rest of the trailer.

There seems to be a trend in which trailers include random shots, like this one, that cannot be made sense of in the context of the trailer.  A good many trailers these days, Bridesmaids clearly among them, are at their ends just mishmashes of quickly edited shots set to fast-paced music.  Bridesmaids’ puppy shot, though, sets a new standard: not only does it lack context and not only is it completely out of place, it also does not tease out the story in any way and its tone stands it contrast to the rest of the trailer without it lasting anywhere near long enough for that change in tone to make a difference.  Except insofar as it makes you go, “Aww.”

Cinematic Honorable Mentions of 2010

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Neither I nor the Academy considered the following worthy of a nomination, but they are nonetheless worthy of being mentioned.

Actor
Paul Rudd, How Do You Know – There was a good portion of How Do You Know during which Paul Rudd was not on screen.  Big mistake.  When he was around, he lit up the whole movie.

Actress
Elisabeth Shue, Piranha 3D – Some asked what Elisabeth Shue was doing in a movie like Piranha.  Here’s a better question: how could she have been any better for the role?

Supporting Actor
Jeff Goldblum, The SwitchThe Switch – of all movies – featured Jeff Goldblum at his “hmm, erm” squirmiest best.

Supporting Actress
Portia Doubleday, Youth in Revolt – This is a kind of girl I woulnd’t mind falling for.
Melissa McMeekin/Bianca Hunter/Erica McDermott/Jill Quigg/Dendrie Taylor/Kate B. O’Brien/Jenna Lamia, The Fighter – If seven actresses could be nominated as one, then the Eklund/Ward sisters would have easily been in the mix.

Adapted Screenplay
Will Forte, John Solomon, and Jorma Taccone, MacgruberMacgruber is no classic, but as far as adapting an SNL sketch goes, credit must be given for creating something that was (and necessarily had to be) significantly different from the sketch.

Editing
Seth Casriel, Matt Kosinski, and Matt Probst, Jackass 3D – Let’s keep in mind that a major reason why the Jackass stunts work as well as they do is because they are consistently well-edited.

Song
“Rock My Body,” written by Nathan Heller, Macgruber – Will Forte has a beautiful voice.

Best Movies of 2010

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Best Movies of 2010

On 2009’s list, I declared Jesse Eisenberg the biggest star of the year, thanks to the presence of Adventureland and Zombieland.  Then, in 2010, The Social Network was released.  Needless to say, I have high hopes for 30 Minutes or Less.  Leo, Chloë Grace Moretz, Richard Jenkins, and Adrien Brody all attempted to be the biggest star this year, but 2010 was ultimately all over the place.

As usual, each of the top ten movies is accompanied with a memorable line.  As for the best line of the year?  Everyone say it with me:

“Machete don’t text.”

1. Inception
Devin Faraci of CHUD.com has written an essential article about how Inception is a metaphor for moviemaking.  When an audience watches a movie in a theatre, it is like a shared dream.  The roles in Inception correspond to the roles in a movie: Cobb is the director, Arthur the producer, Ariadne the screenwriter, Eames the actor, Yusuf the technical guy, Saito the financier, Fischer the audience, and Mal the element of himself that the director inevitably imprints the film with.  Faraci also hints at the idea that this metaphor can be extended to say that how we experience dreams is not only like how we experience movies but also how we experience life.  We never know how we get where we are at the beginning of a dream, and when a dream ends, we are rudely ripped from it without a real chance for resolution.  In life, we do not know how we got to where we began.  Think back to your earliest memory.  How did you get to that point?  Sure, you probably know when and where you were born, and your parents can fill in the rest, but you only know all that because that is what you are told.  And when we die, we die, rudely plucked from life.  Perhaps from the viewpoint of the afterlife, the logic of life will seem like the logic of dreams.  But while we have the chance, we, like Cobb, are fighting for resolution, working at that one thing, that one idea, that will change everything.
Memorable Line: “So do you want to take a leap of faith or become an old man filled with regret, waiting to die alone?”

2. The Social Network
Yes, The Social Network is meaningful because it is the story behind one of the major forces in today’s society, and yes, it has also got those classic themes of friendship, betrayal, and the temptations of power.  But what really makes The Social Network so thrilling is its portrayal of genius at work.  The reason that its scenes of typing are engaging is because we know that any line of code Mark Zuckerberg comes up with could be gold.  We love Sean Parker even though he is introduced following a one-night stand because he pays attention to everything, always looking for a way to innovate.  Our attention is held because we know that at any moment, these characters could have some genius epiphany.  And we are also so fascinated, because even though these geniuses have changed society, it is not clear that the ways they have changed society, or themselves, have ultimately been for good.
Memorable Line: “If you guys were the inventors of Facebook, you’d have invented Facebook.”

3. The Fighter
I have heard some people argue that Christian Bale’s performance was too dominant in The Fighter and that he nearly took over the entire movie.  Well, Dicky Ecklund nearly took over his brother’s life with his shenanigans getting in the way of his brother’s career.  Obviously The Fighter was more about family dynamics than it was about boxing.  (Why else would the Gatti fights have only been included in the epilogue?)  Micky Ward is portrayed by Mark Wahlberg as a silent, almost diffident man surrounded by dangerously strong-willed family members.  The ultimate resolution of the movie, then, is for Micky to stand up to all of them.  It could just be the power of Wahlberg’s performance, or it could also be that some small American towns have big identities, but I bought wholesale The Fighter’s showier scenes.  The “I’m the one fighting” scene came across over-the-top in the trailer, but in the context of the actual movie, it was the only thing that made sense.
Memorable Line: “I want Dicky back.  And I want you, Charlene.  And I want O’Keefe.  I want my family.  What’s wrong with that?”

4. Black Swan
To be able to fully appreciate Black Swan, it is necessary to be clear about its genre: psychological thriller.  The thrills and chills in such a film all come from the main character’s head.  The challenge for the audience is to determine what is not real and what (if anything) is real.  The trick is that certain elements are explicitly marked fake or might as well be (the girl on girl action, Nina’s transformation into an actual swan).  So the audience is coaxed into believing that everything else is real, but a quick deeper glance questions the wisdom of such a belief: Who is Lily?  Why does she always look like Nina when she is seen in the shadows?  Why do no other characters interact with Nina’s mom?  Then there are the scenes that appear to be partially real and partially fake: did Nina actually scratch herself even though only her reflection is shown doing the scratching?  Because Black Swan is principally informed by what is going on in someone’s head, it will continue to be debated and answers will never be complete.  But what is clear is that whatever crazy synaptic processes were going on, they were what she needed to accomplish what she was after.  And that is so often how success happens.
Memorable Line: “Wait, did you have some sort of lezzy wet dream about me?” … “Shut up.”

5. Toy Story 3
There are not too many great G-rated movies nowadays.  Part of that is because there are not too many G-rated movies at all.  Also, it is because most filmmakers don’t know how to or don’t care to have whimsy carry an entire movie.  Toy Story 3 is not very deep.  It is plain to see that its theme is the struggle of feeling useless when growing old.  But that lack of depth is okay when you have whimsy, and friends.
Memorable Line: “Are you classically trained?”

6. Exit Through the Gift Shop
After seeing Exit Through the Gift Shop, I am still not sure who made this movie.  Going into it, I thought it was directed by Thierry Guetta and that he chose to pretend that Banksy took over the directorial reins midway through filming.  But Banksy is listed as the director.  And also Thierry Guetta/Mr. Brainwash may not be an actual artist or even an actual person.  There is speculation that his entire existence is a hoax perpetrated by Banksy and/or that Banksy is Thierry Guetta.  Regardless of what is to be believed about Exit Through the Gift Shop (and a lot of it does seem true, particularly the portrayal of the Disneyland police), it has plenty to say about art.  The emergence of Thierry and his ever-present camera in the street art scene forced street artists to reflect upon their work.  All art is temporary to a certain extent, street art particularly so.  But with Thierry around, it didn’t have to be that way.  But did street artists want their work to be more permanent?  Such permanence seemed to encourage the idea that street art is a particularly democratic art.  But with the attention and the prices that Banksy pieces have commanded, street art doesn’t exactly lack prestige and is hardly as democratic as it may once have been.  As it is then, the tale of Thierry Guetta is a cautionary one: perhaps it is a good thing when the art world isn’t exactly democratic.
Memorable Line: “I used to encourage everyone I knew to make art; I don’t do that so much anymore.”

7. Let Me In
Let Me In is proof that unnecessary does not have to mean bad.  It made no sense that Let the Right One should have been remade.  It provided a Swedish perspective to what had become an all-encompassing craze in America.  Why would an American perspective need to be brought in?  Let Me In is definitely an Americanized version of Låt Den Rätte Komma In – Americanized in the best possible sense of the term.  Matt Reeves did not have to set Let Me In in the eighties, but it probably worked best for him because of the clips of Ronald Reagan he was able to get a hold of.  Setting this creepy tale against the backdrop of the rise of the moral majority was ingenious.  In a world of bullies and kind-hearted vampires, what is the role of religion?  And who are the real monsters?  Who isn’t?
Memorable Line: “Do you think there’s such a thing as evil?”

8. The King’s Speech
There have been plenty of great period British dramas in cinematic history, but I would place The King’s Speech in a more recent filmmaking trend by positing that it ought to be grouped with Superbad, I Love You, Man, and (to include some Britishness) The Damned United.  Yes, that’s right, The King’s Speech is a movie about bromance, or, as it was referred to at the time, male friendship.  My aunt was telling me that the relationship between these two men could not have worked if neither one was as strong-willed as the other.  I am not entirely sure if she meant the relationship Colin Firth and Geoffrey Rush or the one between King George and Lionel Logue.  If she meant it both ways, then she was absolutely correct.  True friendship and dynamic acting comes from demanding the best from and respecting your friend and/or co-star.
Memorable Line: “Fuck fuck fuck!  Shit!  Balls … tits.”

9. Easy A
Just because you are a well-adjusted teenager does not mean you do not have to deal with the indignities of high school.  It is a hoot to watch Olive tell her tale because she is so mature and entertaining for her age, but she is not so mature as to not need any sympathy or to have no opportunity for growth.  Emma Stone really sells the whole package with her breakdown at the end.  Crying on camera is a tough trick, but she conveys what needs to be conveyed at the moment: she has tried so hard to be a good person, while it seems that everyone around her has decided that she cannot be.  This is generally a good strategy for making a well-adjusted person a memorable character: finally show her vulnerable side.
Memorable Line: “You know, you call me bitch a lot, okay. It’s not really a term of endearment.”

10. Splice
Is this list bookended by two movies that are metaphors about movies?  The metaphor of Splice can be extended to the creation of any work of art, or any act of creation really.  When you release a movie, publish a book, release an album, unveil a painting, etc., it eventually becomes something other than what you intended due to the response of the audience.  Similarly, once Clive and Elsa were able to bring a creature like Dren to life, they had relatively little control over how it would develop.  The fact that a creation could change to the complete opposite of what they had intended was brought to a stark reality.  If you have the power to play god, you have to be prepared for the possibility that your creations will shock you.  God was prepared.  Clive and Elsa, not so much.
Memorable Line: “…it seems that Ginger has undergone certain hormonal changes.  She turned into a male.”

Honorable Mentions (Not Quite Top Ten Material, But They Deserve to be Mentioned More Than They Have Been): Edge of Darkness, Hot Tub Time Machine, Knight and Day, The Losers, The Other Guys, Piranha 3D, Step Up 3D, Youth in Revolt

Probably Good Ones That I Missed: Animal Kingdom, Another Year, The Illusionist, Inside Job, Monsters, Restrepo, Un Prophete

What I Would Pick in Each Oscar Category (Except the Shorts)

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These are my choices for the top performances/accomplishments in films of 2010 in each of the cinematic categories honored by the Academy Awards.  I suppose that you could say if I were unilaterally choosing the Oscar nominees, these would be the nominees.  In a few of the design and technical categories (particularly Makeup and Sound Editing), I did not feel completely equipped to be picking the best, but I did what I could.

Picture
A full blog post detailing my top ten list is here.
Inception
The Social Network
The Fighter
Black Swan
Toy Story 3
Exit Through the Gift Shop
Let Me In
The King’s Speech
Easy A
Splice

Director
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David Fincher, The Social Network
David O. Russell, The Fighter
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
Matt Reeves, Let Me In

Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, Inception
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
Mark Wahlberg, The Fighter

Actress
There are a few performances here from movies that I didn’t think were otherwise that great.
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
Emma Stone, Easy A

Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Justin Timberlake, The Social Network
Vincent Cassel, Black Swan
Jonah Hill, Cyrus

Supporting Actress
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Barbara Hershey, Black Swan
Marion Cotillard, Inception
Amy Adams, The Fighter
Delphine Chanéac, Splice
Mila Kunis, Black Swan

Adapted Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin, The Social Network
Roman Polanski, The Ghost Writer
Joel and Ethan Coen, True Grit
Matt Reeves, Let Me In
Michael Arndt, Toy Story 3

Original Screenplay
Christopher Nolan, Inception
David Seidler, The King’s Speech
Scott Silver, Paul Tamasy, Eric Johnson, and Keith Dorrington, The Fighter
Bert V. Royal, Easy A
Vincenzo Natali, Antoinette Terry Bryant, and Doug Taylor, Splice

Editing
Lee Smith, Inception
Kirk Baxter Angus Wall, The Social Network
Pamela Martin, The Fighter
Andrew Weisblum, Black Swan
Thelma Schoonmaker, Shutter Island

Cinematography
Wally Pfister, Inception
Matthew Libatique, Black Swan
Danny Cohen, The King’s Speech
Bob Richardson, Shutter Island
Roger Deakins, True Grit

Art Direction
Inception
Shutter Island
Scott Pilgrim vs. the World
Black Swan
Tron: Legacy

Sound Mixing
Inception
Scott Pilgrim vs. the World
The Social Network
The Fighter
Black Swan

Sound Editing
Inception
Shutter Island
Toy Story 3
Tron: Legacy
Unstoppable

Costume Design
Inception
Black Swan
The King’s Speech
The Social Network
True Grit

Score
Hans Zimmer, Inception
Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross, The Social Network
Thomas Bangalter and Guy-Manuel De Homem-Christo, Tron: Legacy
Alexandre Desplat, The Ghost Writer
Heitor Perreira and Pharrell Williams, Despicable Me

Song
“The Clap,” written by Dan Bern and Mike Viola, Get Him to the Greek
“Chop and Change,” written by Dan Auerbach and Patrick Carney, Twilight: Eclipse
“Heavy in Your Arms,” written by Florence Welch and Paul Epworth, Twilight: Eclipse
“Fun, Fun, Fun,” written by Pharrell Williams, Despicable Me
“Eclipse (All Yours),” written by Emily Haines, James Shaw, and Howard Shore, Twilight: Eclipse

Foreign Language Film
I saw two foreign language films from 2010 – The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo and The Girl who Played with Fire – but I believe that neither one was eligible in this category, as they were not released in their home country last year.  But since they were released stateside in 2010, they were eligible for all the other categories.  Also, I believe there can be only one film nominated per country per year.

Documentary Feature
I saw four documentaries from 2010.  Here’s how I rank them:
Exit Through the Gift Shop
Waiting for ‘Superman’
Joan Rivers: A Piece of Work
Catfish

Animated Feature
Toy Story 3
How to Train Your Dragon
Despicable Me

Visual Effects
Inception
Hereafter
Tron: Legacy
Scott Pilgrim vs. the World

Makeup
Black Swan
The Fighter
Let Me In
Shutter Island
Jonah Hex

2010: A Year at the Movies

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2010 was another record-breaking year for the frequency of my moviegoing.  But this was no ordinary record-breaking; I smashed my previous high of 40-something with a total of 66 visits to a movie theatre, marking my first year of averaging at least one movie per week.  The following is a list of every movie I saw at a theatre in 2010, with dates, showtimes, and theatre locations denoted as well.  Movies that I saw multiple times (only one fits that category this year) are only counted once towards the final tally.

1. It’s Complicated (1/5, 10:20 PM – Regal United Artists Oxford Valley 14, Langhorne, PA)
2. Youth in Revolt (1/8, 9:50 PM – Oxford Valley)
3. Crazy Heart (1/16, 2:30 PM – The Charles Theatre, Baltimore)
4. Edge of Darkness (2/5, 4:20 PM – The Rotunda Cinematheque, Baltimore)
5. Shutter Island (2/27, 7:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
6. The Crazies (3/1, 2:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
7. The Wolfman (3/4, 2:30 PM – Oxford Valley)
8. Alice in Wonderland in 3D (3/5, 1:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
9. Hot Tub Time Machine (4/2, 8:10 PM – Oxford Valley)
10. Clash of the Titans (4/3, 4:20 PM – Oxford Valley)
11. Kick-Ass (4/16, 10:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
12. The Losers (5/7, 2:50 PM – Oxford Valley)
13. Iron Man 2 (5/8, 1:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
14. Robin Hood (5/16, 3:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
15. How to Train Your Dragon in 3D (5/20, 12:50 PM – Oxford Valley)
16. MacGruber (5/22, 8:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
17. Date Night (5/26, 12:10 PM – Oxford Valley)
18. Get Him to the Greek (6/6, 1:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
19. Splice (6/10, 1:50 PM – Oxford Valley)
20. The A-Team (6/12, 8:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
21. Toy Story 3 in 3D (6/18, 9:30 PM – Oxford Valley)
22. Knight and Day (7/1, 7:50 PM – Oxford Valley)
23. Predators (7/9, 8:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
24. Inception (7/16, 10:20 PM – Oxford Valley; also in IMAX, 7/26, 3:40 PM – Regal United Artists King of Prussia, King of Prussia, PA; also 9/16, 6:40 PM, Oxford Valley)
25. Despicable Me in 3D (7/18, 1:50 PM – Oxford Valley)
26. Cyrus (8/4, 9:55 PM – AMC Neshaminy, Bensalem, PA)
27. The Sorcerer’s Apprentice (8/11, 9:15 PM – Oxford Valley)
28. The Expendables (8/14, 10:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
29. Step Up 3D (8/16, 12:50 PM – Oxford Valley)
30. The Kids Are All Right (8/19, 3:55 PM – Oxford Valley)
31. Rifftrax Live: Reefer Madness (8/19, 8:00 PM – Neshaminy)
32. Piranha 3D (8/22, 8:10 PM – Oxford Valley)
33. The Other Guys (8/22, 9:45 PM – Oxford Valley)
34. Eat, Pray, Love (8/23, 3:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
35. Scott Pilgrim vs. the World (8/27, 9:30 PM – Oxford Valley)
36. The American (9/3, 1:30 PM – Oxford Valley)
37. Machete (9/4, 10:30 PM – Oxford Valley)
38. The Switch (9/12, 1:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
39. Devil (9/17, 7:20 PM – Oxford Valley)
40. The Town (9/17, 10:30 PM – Oxford Valley)
41. Easy A (10/1, 9:20 PM – Oxford Valley)
42. Legend of the Guardians: The Owls of Ga’Hoole in 3D (10/2, 1:15 PM – Oxford Valley)
43. Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps (10/5, 1:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
44. It’s Kind of a Funny Story (10/8, 1:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
45. Catfish (10/13, 12:20 PM – Neshaminy)
46. Let Me In (10/14, 2:05 PM – Oxford Valley)
47. The Social Network (10/14, 7:10 PM – Oxford Valley)
48. Red (10/15, 7:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
49. Jackass 3D (10/15, 10:30 PM – Oxford Valley)
50. Paranormal Activity 2 (10/21, 10:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
51. Waiting for ‘Superman’ (10/27, 1:45 PM – Neshaminy)
52. Rifftrax Live: House on Haunted Hill (10/28, 8:00 PM – Neshaminy)
53. Secretariat (11/2, 1:05 PM – Oxford Valley)
54. Hereafter (11/10, 1:05 PM – Oxford Valley)
55. Skyline (11/12, 10:10 PM – Oxford Valley)
56. Unstoppable (11/14, 9:30 PM – Oxford Valley)
57. Morning Glory (11/18, 12:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
58. Fair Game (12/1, 7:10 PM – AMC Hamilton, Hamilton, NJ)
59. The Next Three Days (12/7, 1:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
60. Due Date (12/8, 12:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
61. 127 Hours (12/14, 2:25 PM – Neshaminy)
62. The Fighter (12/17, 7:40 PM – Oxford Valley)
63. Tron: Legacy in 3D (12/17, 10:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
64. Black Swan (12/27, 10:35 PM – Oxford Valley)
65. Little Fockers (12/28, 2:00 PM – Oxford Valley)
66. True Grit (12/30, 7:40 PM – Oxford Valley)

Oscar Projections Addendum

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A bit of a revision to my Oscar post from yesterday.  Regarding Visual Effects, I completely forgot to consider Tron: Legacy, which could very well blow away the two contenders that I mentioned – Hereafter and Inception.  As for Makeup, I really don’t know if Inception is the top contender or not (or if it is even a contender at all).  All I had to go on for this category was what awardsdaily.com – one of my main sources for Oscar news – had to offer, and according to the folks over there, only Inception and Shutter Island have been targeted as Makeup contenders so far.

Jmunney’s Early 2010 Oscar Projections

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The big Academy Awards prognosticators have already switched it into high gear in predicting the nominations for the 83rd Academy Awards, which will take place on ABC the night of Sunday, February 27, 2011, with co-hosts James Franco and Anne Hathaway (unusual choices, but judging by their performances as hosts of Saturday Night Live, I think that they will be able to handle the proceedings).  So I figured it is time for me to add my early perspective.  Here are my predictions for the nominees in the six major categories (predicted winners are in bold):

Best Picture
Black Swan
The Fighter
Inception
The Kids Are All Right
The King’s Speech
127 Hours
The Social Network
The Town
Toy Story 3
True Grit
Don’t count out Inception, the movie everyone was talking about this summer, and things could change completely once The King’s Speech goes into wide release, but right now, Social Network, the best-reviewed movie of the year, is the front-runner.
Also with a chance: Winter’s Bone

Director
Darren Aronofsky, Black Swan
Danny Boyle, 127 Hours
David Fincher, The Social Network
Tom Hooper, The King’s Speech
Christopher Nolan, Inception
Fincher has the edge over Nolan in a battle between two directors who should have been nominated more often than they have been (this’ll be Fincher’s second, Nolan’s first).

Actor
Leonardo DiCaprio, Inception
Michael Douglas, Solitary Man
Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network
Colin Firth, The King’s Speech
James Franco, 127 Hours
The surest bet of the awards season appears to be Firth gobbling up every major lead acting accolade.
Also with a chance: Javier Bardem, Biutiful

Actress
Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right
Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole
Jennifer Lawrence, Winter’s Bone
Julianne Moore, The Kids Are All Right
Natalie Portman, Black Swan
Winter’s Bone is too small, and the Kids leads may cancel each other out, which moves victory to Portman’s direction.
Also with a chance: Noomi Rapace, The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

Supporting Actor
Christian Bale, The Fighter
Andrew Garfield, The Social Network
Armie Hammer, The Social Network
Geoffrey Rush, The King’s Speech
Justin Timberlake, The Social Network
In a crowded field, the best bet is the new Peter Parker for being, as Entertainment Weekly Oscar Watcher Dave Karger calls him, “the … moral center” of The Social Network.
Also with a chance: Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right

Supporting Actress
Helena Bonham Carter, The King’s Speech
Barbara Hershey, Black Swan
Mila Kunis, Black Swan
Melissa Leo, The Fighter
Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit
This category is a little difficult, as none of my picks are in movies that are yet in wide release.  This could come down to a battle of scary moms (Hershey, Leo) versus the Queen Mum (Bonham Carter), but this category’s history of awarding young newcomers bodes well for 13-year-old Hailee Steinfeld.
Also with a chance: Amy Adams, The Fighter

As for the other categories…

Adapted Screenplay
Aaron Sorkin (Social Network) is one of the most beloved screenwriters in the biz today.

Original Screenplay
The speechwriting of David Seidler (The King’s Speech) or the layered puzzle from Christopher Nolan (Inception)?  This looks about dead even right now, so I’ll go with Nolan.

Editing
Unless The Social Network wins everything, Lee Smith ought to be recognized for keeping everything well-timed and in the right place for Inception.

Cinematography
How about Christopher Nolan standby Wally Pfister (Inception) picking up his first win?

Animated Feature
Too bad for How to Train Your Dragon, Despicable Me, and Tangled that they were released the same year as Toy Story 3.

Art Direction
With a lack of any viable colorful nominees, we must look for something expansive and chalk up another victory for Inception.

Costume Design
When nothing else sticks out, go period – The King’s Speech.

Documentary Feature
Joan Rivers: A Piece of Work and Facebook mystery Catfish were surprisngly left off the list of semifinalists, but Inside Job, the tale of the financial meltdown, was always going to be the favorite, with Waiting for “Superman” providing some competition.

Foreign Language Film
Lead Actor candidate Javier Bardem could propel Mexico’s Biutufil to a win.

Makeup
Inception, apparently.

Original Score
If you’re looking for iconic, look no further than Hans Zimmer’s bludgeoning work for Inception, but don’t count out Atticus Ross and Trent Reznor’s dark atmospherics in The Social Network.

Song
I’ve got “The Clap” from Get Him to the Greek.

Sound Mixing and Editing
Inception should sweep up the technical categories.

Visual Effects
Inception will have a chance if old-fashioned camera tricks are considered as much as CGI; otherwise, Hereafter should win on the strength of the tidal wave sequence.

Animated Short
Probably something from Pixar.  Maybe Day and Night (not to be confused with Knight and Day), which played in theatres before Toy Story 3. 

Documentary Short
Maybe something about China.

Live-Action Short
Maybe something about somebody with cancer.

Now That Aaron Paul is an Emmy Winner, Let’s Get “Weird” a Theatrical Release

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Aaron Paul won an Emmy last night for Breaking Bad, so it should now only be a matter of not much time before Weird makes it into theatres.

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